you're reading...
Uncategorized

Science says Trump more likely to have heart attack in next 10 years than Clinton

Donald Trump continues to make the health of the Presidential candidates an issue.

Screen Shot 2016-08-28 at 7.43.24 PM

08/28/16

I find this ironic considering the letter Mrs. Clinton produced makes Trump’s look like it was written in crayon. Then again writing a letter like this takes longer than five minutes.

What of Trump’s claim that he is healthier?

There is actually some information in the two letters that we can use to compare Trump with Clinton health wise, for example both candidates are non smokers. Dr. Bardack informs us that Mrs. Clinton is up to date on her “routine health maintenance” and mentions the specific cancer screening tests that have been performed. Dr. Bornstein writes a more vague “recent complete medical examination” about Trump, so we don’t actually know if he has had a routine colonoscopy. Trump has low PSA (it’s quite low, read more here if you are interested in the possible reasons/explanations).

If both candidates have completed all their required health screening (a leap with Trump’s letter as the specifics are spelled out in Clinton’s and not in his) and are non smokers then cancer-wise they are on a relatively even playing field. However, they are not when it comes to their risk of heart attack . Trump’s doctor doesn’t provide quite enough information (on purpose or just a rushed omission we may never know) for comparison, but we can make an educated guess.

To compare the two candidates and their risk for heart attack I plugged their information into a risk calculator provided by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. We need age, gender, systolic blood pressure, smoking status, if they are taking a medication for blood pressure, as well as total and HDL cholesterol. Trump’s letter does not include cholesterol levels. For Trump I did the calculations using the same cholesterol and HDL as Clinton as well a second calculation using significantly better values than Mrs. Clinton just in case his levels are better. As Trump is on a statin (a cholesterol medication) and professes his love for Kentucky Fried chicken a significantly better cholesterol than Clinton is probably less likely. If he released this information we could, of course, better compare the two for heart attack risk.

Screen Shot 2016-08-28 at 7.38.28 PM

Hillary Clinton’s heart attack risk score using information provided by her doctor:

Screen Shot 2016-08-28 at 8.33.09 PM

Donald Trump’s heart attack risk score using Clinton’s cholesterol levels:

Screen Shot 2016-08-28 at 8.33.31 PM

Donald Trump’s heart attack risk score using better cholesterol levels than Hillary Clinton: 

Screen Shot 2016-08-28 at 8.34.04 PM

 

Mrs. Clinton has a 1% chance of having a heart attack in the next 10 years. Trump’s risk is at least 7%, but possibly 9% or even greater. This is much greater than Clinton’s.

Based on the available information Donald Trump is more likely to have a heart attack in the next 10 years compared to Mrs. Clinton. 

 

Discussion

10 thoughts on “Science says Trump more likely to have heart attack in next 10 years than Clinton

  1. Hi Jen , just out of interest is the American system of blood pressure different to the UK ?
    In the UK , systolic blood pressure of 100-110 would be on the low side . Our *normal* is 135 .

    Posted by Jim | August 29, 2016, 12:40 am
    • Not a doctor, but commonly systolic blood pressure up to 120 is treated as OK, 121-140 as borderline and over 140 as high. But it matters if it’s just one measurement or repeated measurements.

      OK, just looked up wikipedia. They state normal as 90-119, 120-139 as prehypertension, 140-159 as stage 1 hypertension, 160-179 as stage 2 hypertension and 180 or higher as stage 3 hypertension.

      Posted by Anat | September 1, 2016, 1:23 pm
  2. The fact that Hilary is a female puts the odds in her favor longevity-wise as women have been statistically noted to live longer than men🙂

    Posted by manangbok | August 29, 2016, 5:17 am

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

  1. Pingback: Nothing in Hillary Clinton’s health history disqualifies her from the Presidency | Dr. Jen Gunter - September 13, 2016

  2. Pingback: If Trump is in astonishingly good health why a new exam and lab tests? | Dr. Jen Gunter - September 14, 2016

  3. Pingback: Nothing In Hillary Clinton’s Health History Disqualifies Her From The Presidency - LiberalVoiceLiberalVoice — Your source for everything about liberals and progressives! — News and tweets about everything liberals and progressives - September 15, 2016

  4. Pingback: Nothing In Hillary Clinton’s Health History Disqualifies Her From The Presidency | Fedora Nate Studios - September 15, 2016

  5. Pingback: Nothing In Hillary Clinton’s Health History Disqualifies Her From The Presidency - September 15, 2016

  6. Pingback: Nothing In Hillary Clinton’s Health History Disqualifies Her From The Presidency | KJOZ RADIO CALL IN TOLL FREE (281) 447-1073 - September 15, 2016

  7. Pingback: Nothing In Hillary Clinton’s Health History Disqualifies Her From The Presidency – Huffington Post | | All Breaking News - September 15, 2016

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Recent Tweets

  • RT @jmckinneypt: Paper 21: women who "liberally" resume physical activity post-op had improved symptoms/comparable anatomical outcomes at 3… 8 hours ago
  • RT @MA_Barker_MD: #PFDWeek liberal activity following pelvic reconstructive surgery safe. Finally a study to challenge the dogma of 6 wk po… 8 hours ago
  • RT @AlanBaxter: Wonder Woman comes from an island where there are only women. Glad it's being highlighted, but this really isn't news. 😃 12 hours ago
%d bloggers like this: